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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 5
Fri, Nov 13, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Netherlands vs Greece Prediction & Win Probability

Netherlands has a 68% chance to win, with a 20% chance of a draw.

Rating 1950 · World #7
Form: WDWDD
VS
Rating 1752 · World #28
Form: DDWWD
Model Probability
68%
12%
Draw 20%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand65%22%13%<1%
Netherlands win 83%14%3%<1%
Draw 42%31%27%<1%
Greece win <1%56%44%<1%

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand23%62%14%<1%
Netherlands win 3%76%21%<1%
Draw 46%51%3%<1%
Greece win 100%<1%<1%<1%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Netherlands 4 8 1950 65% 22% 13% <1%
2 Greece 4 8 1752 23% 62% 14% <1%
3 Germany 4 5 1920 12% 16% 70% 2%
4 Serbia 4 0 1728 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
NetherlandsStatGreece
5-5-0Won-Drawn-Lost4-3-3
2.3Avg goals scored1.5
1.1Avg goals conceded1.5
1950Rating1752
#7World rank#28

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
NetherlandsStatGreece
2Wins (4 meetings, 1 draw)1
2Last 4 meetings (1 draw)1
1.75Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Thu, Oct 1, 2026, Nations League): Greece 2–2 Netherlands