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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 6
Mon, Nov 16, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Greece vs Serbia Prediction & Win Probability

Greece has a 43% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1752 · World #28
Form: DDWWD
VS
Rating 1728 · World #34
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
43%
27%
Draw 30%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand23%62%14%<1%
Greece win 33%62%5%<1%
Draw 18%69%13%<1%
Serbia win 14%54%32%<1%

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%2%98%
Greece win <1%<1%<1%100%
Draw <1%<1%<1%100%
Serbia win <1%<1%9%91%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Netherlands 4 8 1950 65% 22% 13% <1%
2 Greece 4 8 1752 23% 62% 14% <1%
3 Germany 4 5 1920 12% 16% 70% 2%
4 Serbia 4 0 1728 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
GreeceStatSerbia
4-3-3Won-Drawn-Lost3-0-7
1.5Avg goals scored0.9
1.5Avg goals conceded1.8
1752Rating1728
#28World rank#34

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
GreeceStatSerbia
2Wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)1
2Last 3 meetings (0 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Thu, Sep 24, 2026, Nations League): Serbia 1–2 Greece