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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 5
Fri, Nov 13, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Serbia vs Germany Prediction & Win Probability

Germany has a 56% chance to win, with a 26% chance of a draw.

Rating 1728 · World #34
Form: LLLLW
VS
Rating 1920 · World #9
Form: DWLDD
Model Probability
18%
56%
Draw 26%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%2%98%
Serbia win <1%<1%14%86%
Draw <1%<1%<1%100%
Germany win <1%<1%<1%100%

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand12%16%70%2%
Serbia win <1%5%81%14%
Draw <1%17%83%<1%
Germany win 21%18%60%<1%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Netherlands 4 8 1950 65% 22% 13% <1%
2 Greece 4 8 1752 23% 62% 14% <1%
3 Germany 4 5 1920 12% 16% 70% 2%
4 Serbia 4 0 1728 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SerbiaStatGermany
3-0-7Won-Drawn-Lost5-3-2
0.9Avg goals scored2.2
1.8Avg goals conceded0.7
1728Rating1920
#34World rank#9

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SerbiaStatGermany
1Wins (3 meetings, 1 draw)1
1Last 3 meetings (1 draw)1
0.67Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Thu, Oct 1, 2026, Nations League): Germany 2–0 Serbia