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Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Marseille vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 38% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.6%57.4%13.0%<1%<1%
If Win 19.6%65.6%12.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 15.0%58.2%13.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 12.7%50.8%14.0%<1%<1%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.2%3.3%11.5%4.7%
If Win <1%4.6%4.4%8.3%2.3%
If Draw <1%2.6%2.5%12.3%4.4%
If Lose <1%1.7%2.0%14.0%5.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatMonaco
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.6Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
33% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatMonaco
9All-time wins (29 meetings, 7 draws)13
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.4Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-08-30): Monaco 2–0 Marseille