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Marseille vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 40% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
Ligue 1
Monaco
4-4-2Rating 1828
Form: DLDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%31.8%13.8%<1%<1%
If Win <1%40.5%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%31.1%13.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%24.8%12.8%<1%<1%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%28.0%13.0%<1%<1%
If Win <1%33.3%14.8%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%25.2%11.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%19.5%11.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatMonaco
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored1.3
1.4Avg goals conceded1.1
60% / 0% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
60% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatMonaco
9All-time wins (29 meetings, 7 draws)13
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.4Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-08-30): Monaco 2–0 Marseille