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Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Lille vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 51% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.4%3.4%11.0%4.5%
If Win <1%5.7%4.6%7.4%2.2%
If Draw <1%2.7%3.1%10.8%3.5%
If Lose <1%2.0%2.0%12.5%4.7%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.7%28.4%11.6%<1%<1%
If Win 5.9%33.8%14.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.8%26.0%12.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 2.5%21.1%11.4%1.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatMarseille
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)12
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Marseille 1–2 Lille