Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Monaco vs Lyon
Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Monaco vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 46% chance to win.

4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.5%38.4%13.1%<1%<1%
If Win 12.2%49.1%13.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 7.5%39.6%12.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 5.4%32.0%14.4%<1%<1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 15.9%58.3%13.0%<1%<1%
If Win 20.8%65.9%11.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.0%55.5%13.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 10.9%49.4%14.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatLyon
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored2.0
0.6Avg goals conceded0.4
80% / 20% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatLyon
10All-time wins (28 meetings, 3 draws)15
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Lyon 1–2 Monaco