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Ligue 1
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Lyon vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 57% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
Model Probability
57%
19%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.5%1.9%14.9%6.1%
If Win <1%3.5%3.9%10.6%2.3%
If Draw <1%1.9%2.6%13.7%4.9%
If Lose <1%1.4%1.8%17.2%6.6%

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 8.5%38.2%13.2%<1%<1%
If Win 8.1%42.5%13.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 5.9%32.5%14.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 4.4%28.1%12.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LyonStatToulouse
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.4
0.4Avg goals conceded1.8
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LyonStatToulouse
18All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Toulouse 0–2 Lyon