← Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Marseille vs Troyes

Marseille vs Troyes Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 58% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Jan 31, 2027 · 4:15 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Marseille
5-0-4Rating 1780
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
58%
Draw 23%
19%
Ligue 1
Troyes
2-2-5Rating 1685
Form: WDLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%33.4%15.5%
If Win <1%<1%<1%26.0%8.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%32.2%14.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%37.9%17.7%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%17.8%9.0%1.5%<1%
If Win <1%18.7%11.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%12.5%8.4%1.3%<1%
If Lose <1%10.2%7.4%2.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatTroyes
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored0.8
1.4Avg goals conceded1.8
56% / 0% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss22% / 22% / 56%
60% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatTroyes
8All-time wins (11 meetings, 2 draws)1
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.2Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-10-11): Troyes 0–2 Marseille