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Troyes vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 45% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Feb 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Troyes
2-2-6Rating 1684
Form: LWDLL
vs
Model Probability
28%
Draw 27%
45%
Ligue 1
Lille
6-3-1Rating 1808
Form: WWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.2%45.9%13.3%<1%<1%
If Win 1.9%54.1%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.1%42.3%14.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%35.2%13.1%<1%<1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%34.6%13.3%
If Win <1%<1%<1%29.7%9.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%35.1%13.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%39.0%16.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatLille
10Games played10
0.7Avg goals scored1.4
1.7Avg goals conceded0.7
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 30% / 10%
20% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatLille
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 5 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-09-13): Lille 2–0 Troyes