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Ligue 1
Sat, Feb 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Troyes vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 45% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
Model Probability
28%
45%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.9%30.5%12.9%<1%<1%
If Win 6.6%35.1%13.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.6%24.2%13.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 2.9%22.5%10.7%1.5%<1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%28.1%19.5%
If Win <1%<1%1.1%23.9%12.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%27.8%18.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.1%21.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatLille
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.6
2.2Avg goals conceded0.8
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatLille
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 5 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-09-13): Lille 2–0 Troyes