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Ligue 1
Sun, Feb 7, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT

PSG vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 73% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
73%
10%
Draw 17%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.9%3.3%11.2%4.2%
If Win <1%6.4%5.0%6.9%1.5%
If Draw <1%3.3%3.6%10.4%3.1%
If Lose <1%2.6%3.1%11.5%4.8%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 61.4%91.1%4.3%<1%<1%
If Win 65.3%93.3%3.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 54.7%89.4%5.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 49.7%84.4%6.8%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.6
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatMarseille
24All-time wins (33 meetings, 4 draws)5
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
2.1Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-09-20): Marseille 1–2 PSG