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Troyes vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 48% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Fri, Jan 22, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Troyes
2-2-5Rating 1685
Form: WDLLL
vs
Model Probability
26%
Draw 27%
48%
Ligue 1
Monaco
4-3-2Rating 1828
Form: LDLDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%36.5%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win 1.2%44.3%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%32.6%12.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%25.3%13.1%<1%<1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%32.2%16.5%
If Win <1%<1%<1%27.4%8.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%34.8%15.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%36.6%19.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatMonaco
9Games played9
0.8Avg goals scored1.3
1.8Avg goals conceded1.1
22% / 22% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 33% / 22%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatMonaco
1All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.4Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2023-03-05): Troyes 2–2 Monaco