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Premier League
Sat, May 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Arsenal vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 72% chance to win.

4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
Model Probability
72%
11%
Draw 17%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.3%3.4%15.8%
If Win <1%10.0%4.6%10.5%
If Draw <1%7.2%3.9%15.4%
If Lose <1%5.5%3.0%16.4%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 42.1%96.3%1.2%<1%
If Win 43.9%97.1%1.3%<1%
If Draw 35.7%95.5%2.0%<1%
If Lose 34.4%94.8%2.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatNottingham
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.0
80% / 0% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatNottingham
5All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.9Average goals0.4
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Nottingham 0–0 Arsenal