Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-15 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-18 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 65% | |
| 2025-09-13 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 66% | |
| 2025-02-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 46% | |
| 2024-11-23 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 65% | |
| 2024-01-30 | 1–2 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 55% | |
| 2023-08-12 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 62% | |
| 2023-05-20 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Arsenal 58% | |
| 2022-10-30 | 5–0 | Arsenal +5 | Arsenal 69% |