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Sat, May 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 52% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
22%
52%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 42.2%95.5%1.9%<1%
If Win 44.9%97.3%1.3%<1%
If Draw 37.9%96.1%1.4%<1%
If Lose 36.4%95.1%2.1%<1%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.2%7.8%4.5%
If Win <1%26.4%9.3%2.5%
If Draw <1%21.9%8.5%3.8%
If Lose <1%18.7%7.9%4.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatArsenal
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
0.6Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
33% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatArsenal
0All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.6Average goals3.0
Last meeting (2026-01-31): Leeds 0–4 Arsenal