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Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 56% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
Premier League
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 76.4%99.4%<1%<1%
If Win 79.4%99.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 73.9%99.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 70.3%99.5%<1%<1%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.4%7.7%3.6%
If Win <1%17.0%9.2%2.1%
If Draw <1%14.7%7.6%2.7%
If Lose <1%10.6%6.2%3.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatArsenal
10Games played10
1.0Avg goals scored1.5
0.8Avg goals conceded0.5
30% / 50% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss90% / 0% / 10%
40% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatArsenal
0All-time wins (9 meetings, 1 draws)8
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.7Average goals2.9
Last meeting (2026-10-10): Arsenal 2–1 Leeds