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Premier League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST

Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 69% chance to win.

4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
Model Probability
69%
13%
Draw 19%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%21.9%8.4%4.0%
If Win 1.4%35.5%10.1%1.4%
If Draw <1%26.4%8.7%3.0%
If Lose <1%20.0%7.8%4.3%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 40.4%96.7%1.8%<1%
If Win 45.6%97.5%1.1%<1%
If Draw 36.5%94.8%1.9%<1%
If Lose 30.5%92.1%2.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatLeeds
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded0.6
80% / 0% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatLeeds
7All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)0
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
3.0Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-01-31): Leeds 0–4 Arsenal