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Premier League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 4:30 PM BST

Nottingham vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 56% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
20%
56%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 39.6%96.0%1.6%<1%
If Win 46.5%97.7%1.2%<1%
If Draw 38.4%95.6%2.0%<1%
If Lose 29.3%92.4%2.6%<1%

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.6%3.4%15.0%
If Win <1%12.3%6.0%8.9%
If Draw <1%7.4%3.8%13.9%
If Lose <1%5.1%2.7%18.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NottinghamStatArsenal
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.0Avg goals conceded0.8
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NottinghamStatArsenal
1All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.4Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Nottingham 0–0 Arsenal