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Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Arsenal vs Everton Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 69% chance to win.

4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: WDDDW
Model Probability
69%
13%
Draw 19%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%19.8%7.9%4.8%
If Win 1.1%31.2%10.1%1.4%
If Draw <1%24.6%8.6%4.0%
If Lose <1%16.3%7.5%5.0%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 40.4%96.0%1.6%<1%
If Win 45.2%96.9%1.2%<1%
If Draw 34.9%95.3%2.3%<1%
If Lose 29.3%91.9%3.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatEverton
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
0.8Avg goals conceded0.6
80% / 0% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatEverton
18All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.7Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Arsenal 2–0 Everton