Premier League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 2:00 PM BST
Leeds vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability
Leeds has a 38% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 27.2% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| If Win | 1.3% | 35.2% | 9.7% | 1.6% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | 19.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
Leeds
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 22.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| If Win | <1% | 30.6% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | 19.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| Leeds | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 0.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 40% / 60% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 40% / 40% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Leeds | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws) | 4 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 2.6 |