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Premier League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Bournemouth Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 52% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
Model Probability
52%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%8.0%4.3%13.3%
If Win <1%15.5%5.9%6.6%
If Draw <1%9.1%5.1%12.0%
If Lose <1%5.8%3.4%16.1%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.2%8.7%2.9%
If Win <1%33.6%10.1%1.9%
If Draw <1%22.9%8.2%3.3%
If Lose <1%16.2%7.2%6.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatBournemouth
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
1.6Avg goals conceded1.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 60% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatBournemouth
9All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)4
0Last 5 meetings (4 draws)1
1.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-03-20): Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester Utd