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Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 74% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
74%
Draw 16%
10%
Premier League
Tottenham
3-3-4Rating 1867
Form: LWWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.0%3.5%10.7%
If Win <1%7.6%4.4%6.4%
If Draw <1%5.1%3.1%10.1%
If Lose <1%3.8%3.2%13.2%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 75.7%99.6%<1%<1%
If Win 77.4%99.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 71.9%99.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 69.7%99.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatTottenham
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.0
0.5Avg goals conceded1.1
90% / 0% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatTottenham
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)10
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.9Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-02-22): Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal