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Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 76% chance to win.

4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
VS
0-2-3 · Rating 1836
Form: LDDLL
Model Probability
76%
9%
Draw 15%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.3%1.1%41.9%
If Win <1%2.4%1.3%30.9%
If Draw <1%1.8%1.0%39.8%
If Lose <1%1.1%<1%43.0%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 41.2%96.8%1.2%<1%
If Win 43.3%96.9%1.5%<1%
If Draw 37.1%94.9%1.6%<1%
If Lose 34.1%93.7%2.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatTottenham
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored0.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
80% / 0% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 40% / 60%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatTottenham
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)10
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.9Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-02-22): Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal