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Premier League
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 53% chance to win.

0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
22%
53%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 41.4%96.1%1.5%<1%
If Win 45.4%97.3%1.2%<1%
If Draw 38.6%96.0%1.7%<1%
If Lose 35.5%94.9%1.9%<1%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%8.0%3.9%13.7%
If Win <1%12.0%5.3%9.1%
If Draw <1%7.7%4.9%12.5%
If Lose <1%5.9%3.8%15.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatArsenal
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.6
1.6Avg goals conceded0.8
0% / 60% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatArsenal
4All-time wins (18 meetings, 2 draws)12
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.1Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth