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Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 48% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Bournemouth
4-3-3Rating 1945
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
26%
Draw 26%
48%
Premier League
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 76.1%99.5%<1%<1%
If Win 81.4%99.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 73.4%99.7%<1%<1%
If Lose 70.6%99.4%<1%<1%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%37.1%12.8%<1%
If Win <1%44.4%11.8%<1%
If Draw <1%36.7%13.2%<1%
If Lose <1%31.2%12.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatArsenal
10Games played10
1.6Avg goals scored1.5
1.4Avg goals conceded0.5
40% / 30% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss90% / 0% / 10%
40% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatArsenal
4All-time wins (18 meetings, 2 draws)12
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.1Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth