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Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 65% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
65%
Draw 20%
15%
Premier League
Aston Villa
3-4-3Rating 1943
Form: DDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%28.1%10.0%1.1%
If Win <1%37.4%12.8%<1%
If Draw <1%28.8%12.1%1.0%
If Lose <1%24.1%11.8%1.1%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 75.8%99.4%<1%<1%
If Win 80.0%99.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 73.6%99.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 69.7%99.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatAston Villa
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.4
0.5Avg goals conceded1.7
90% / 0% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 40% / 30%
100% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatAston Villa
17All-time wins (28 meetings, 3 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.9Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-08-31): Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal