Premier League
Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester Utd has a 44% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Aston Villa
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 25.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| If Win | <1% | 34.1% | 10.1% | 2.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | 23.7% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 19.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 27.5% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 34.0% | 9.1% | 2.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.1% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 20% / 40% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 20% / 60% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 33% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | All-time wins (27 meetings, 6 draws) | 3 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 1 |
| 2.0 | Average goals | 0.9 |