Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 5:30 PM BST
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability
Newcastle has a 40% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Aston Villa
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 25.5% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| If Win | <1% | 34.8% | 8.5% | 1.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.1% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| If Win | 1.1% | 31.5% | 10.1% | 1.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | 22.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 15.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 40% / 40% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 20% / 60% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 33% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | All-time wins (28 meetings, 9 draws) | 7 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 1.0 |