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Premier League
Sun, Nov 22, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT

Liverpool vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 47% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.5%9.1%3.5%
If Win 1.2%38.3%9.7%1.6%
If Draw <1%26.3%9.8%2.9%
If Lose <1%20.3%8.6%4.8%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.5%51.7%9.1%<1%
If Win 4.5%61.3%9.2%<1%
If Draw 1.7%46.6%10.7%<1%
If Lose 1.5%40.0%10.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatManchester Utd
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatManchester Utd
10All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)13
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-03): Manchester Utd 3–2 Liverpool