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Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 39% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Aston Villa
3-4-3Rating 1943
Form: DDWWD
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
Premier League
Brighton
7-1-2Rating 1983
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 8.0%84.0%5.7%<1%
If Win 10.7%89.8%4.4%<1%
If Draw 7.1%85.4%5.0%<1%
If Lose 6.1%80.4%7.1%<1%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%28.1%11.7%<1%
If Win <1%34.1%13.5%<1%
If Draw <1%26.6%11.7%1.0%
If Lose <1%21.5%10.5%1.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatBrighton
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored2.6
1.7Avg goals conceded0.7
30% / 40% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 10% / 20%
20% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatBrighton
9All-time wins (17 meetings, 5 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.8Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-23): Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa