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Premier League
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 52% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
52%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%17.9%7.2%5.1%
If Win <1%23.6%8.5%3.5%
If Draw <1%17.8%7.6%5.7%
If Lose <1%14.4%6.3%6.2%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.5%57.1%9.5%<1%
If Win 4.3%60.2%10.1%<1%
If Draw 2.7%51.0%10.3%<1%
If Lose 2.4%48.0%10.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatChelsea
5Games played5
3.2Avg goals scored2.0
1.0Avg goals conceded2.4
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatChelsea
5All-time wins (19 meetings, 4 draws)10
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-08-30): Chelsea 4–3 Brighton