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Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 54% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Brighton
7-1-2Rating 1983
Form: WWLWW
vs
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.1%11.7%1.3%
If Win <1%34.8%11.8%<1%
If Draw <1%27.3%12.1%1.2%
If Lose <1%22.3%11.5%1.3%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 7.9%85.4%5.5%<1%
If Win 8.7%88.5%4.9%<1%
If Draw 6.3%82.7%6.5%<1%
If Lose 4.8%79.4%7.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatChelsea
10Games played10
2.6Avg goals scored1.9
0.7Avg goals conceded1.6
70% / 10% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 10% / 40%
80% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatChelsea
5All-time wins (19 meetings, 4 draws)10
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-08-30): Chelsea 4–3 Brighton