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Premier League
Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT

Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Sunderland has a 40% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%17.6%7.2%6.1%
If Win <1%25.4%8.6%3.3%
If Draw <1%17.8%6.1%6.0%
If Lose <1%12.2%6.1%8.8%

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.0%3.9%17.0%
If Win <1%9.1%4.4%11.9%
If Draw <1%6.0%2.6%18.7%
If Lose <1%3.8%2.0%24.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SunderlandStatChelsea
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored2.0
2.0Avg goals conceded2.4
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SunderlandStatChelsea
5All-time wins (17 meetings, 1 draws)11
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals2.4
Last meeting (2026-05-24): Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea