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Premier League
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 45% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.5%8.2%3.7%
If Win <1%30.2%9.5%1.7%
If Draw <1%21.6%7.7%4.3%
If Lose <1%15.8%7.3%5.6%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.7%7.6%5.6%
If Win <1%22.4%8.9%3.2%
If Draw <1%17.2%7.3%5.8%
If Lose <1%10.7%5.1%8.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatLeeds
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.4
2.4Avg goals conceded0.6
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatLeeds
4All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-02-10): Chelsea 2–2 Leeds