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Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 47% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
26%
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.2%7.5%3.7%
If Win <1%21.4%10.3%1.4%
If Draw <1%13.2%8.2%3.7%
If Lose <1%8.8%5.9%5.1%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.7%10.8%1.1%
If Win <1%33.9%12.2%<1%
If Draw <1%23.5%11.5%1.5%
If Lose <1%16.6%7.9%2.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatLeeds
10Games played10
1.9Avg goals scored1.0
1.6Avg goals conceded0.8
50% / 10% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 50% / 20%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatLeeds
4All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-02-10): Chelsea 2–2 Leeds