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Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 5:30 PM BST

Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 53% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
VS
0-2-3 · Rating 1836
Form: LDDLL
Model Probability
53%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.1%1.3%40.7%
If Win <1%2.6%1.5%28.2%
If Draw <1%1.2%<1%40.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%47.3%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.5%7.8%6.5%
If Win <1%22.6%8.8%3.5%
If Draw <1%16.2%7.0%6.6%
If Lose <1%9.5%5.3%10.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatTottenham
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored0.4
2.4Avg goals conceded1.6
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 40% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatTottenham
18All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)6
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.8Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-19): Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham