Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 44% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12.3% | 91.3% | 3.3% | <1% |
| If Win | 14.9% | 93.5% | 2.8% | <1% |
| If Draw | 11.8% | 91.2% | 3.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | 9.1% | 87.8% | 4.8% | <1% |
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 27.0% | 12.5% | 1.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 32.4% | 12.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 25.7% | 10.9% | 1.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | 20.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games played | 10 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals scored | 2.1 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 50% / 10% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 70% / 0% / 30% |
| 60% | Home win % / Away win % | 60% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws) | 18 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.6 |