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Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 63% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW
vs
Model Probability
63%
Draw 21%
16%
Premier League
Brentford
3-5-2Rating 1901
Form: LWDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brentford

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%15.0%7.9%3.0%
If Win <1%21.8%10.2%1.5%
If Draw <1%16.6%9.7%2.3%
If Lose <1%12.3%8.1%3.7%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.3%91.6%3.5%<1%
If Win 15.0%93.9%3.0%<1%
If Draw 11.0%88.4%4.9%<1%
If Lose 8.1%87.2%5.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatBrentford
10Games played10
2.1Avg goals scored1.6
1.3Avg goals conceded1.1
70% / 0% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 50% / 20%
80% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatBrentford
7All-time wins (10 meetings, 1 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.6Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Manchester City 3–0 Brentford