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Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 65% chance to win.

5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1914
Form: WDDDW
Model Probability
65%
14%
Draw 20%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brentford

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%27.6%8.6%3.1%
If Win 1.3%36.1%9.3%1.9%
If Draw <1%28.7%9.0%2.3%
If Lose <1%26.2%8.8%2.8%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 48.4%96.5%1.5%<1%
If Win 51.9%97.6%1.3%<1%
If Draw 43.5%96.9%1.1%<1%
If Lose 39.4%94.9%1.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatBrentford
5Games played5
2.6Avg goals scored2.0
1.0Avg goals conceded0.8
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatBrentford
7All-time wins (10 meetings, 1 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.6Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Manchester City 3–0 Brentford