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Premier League
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT

Nottingham vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 54% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
VS
5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
21%
54%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 48.1%96.4%1.5%<1%
If Win 55.7%98.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 43.4%96.0%1.5%<1%
If Lose 37.4%93.8%2.5%<1%

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.4%4.4%15.6%
If Win <1%12.4%5.5%8.5%
If Draw <1%7.7%4.1%14.1%
If Lose <1%4.4%3.4%19.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NottinghamStatManchester City
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored2.6
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NottinghamStatManchester City
1All-time wins (7 meetings, 2 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.7Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-03-04): Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham