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Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 54% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW
vs
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
Premier League
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.8%63.4%10.5%<1%
If Win 2.9%72.8%8.2%<1%
If Draw 1.3%64.9%10.5%<1%
If Lose 1.0%60.1%11.5%<1%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 13.8%91.1%3.5%<1%
If Win 15.1%94.3%2.4%<1%
If Draw 10.5%91.1%3.8%<1%
If Lose 7.6%86.8%5.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatLiverpool
10Games played10
2.1Avg goals scored1.4
1.3Avg goals conceded1.0
70% / 0% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 30% / 20%
80% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatLiverpool
12All-time wins (34 meetings, 11 draws)11
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-10-11): Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City