Premier League
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 59% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 23%
Model Prediction Through Season
Liverpool
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2.9% | 52.1% | 9.0% | <1% |
| If Win | 4.3% | 60.4% | 9.7% | <1% |
| If Draw | 2.5% | 54.2% | 10.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | 2.0% | 48.9% | 9.7% | <1% |
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 48.8% | 96.7% | 1.4% | <1% |
| If Win | 52.2% | 97.7% | 1.1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 45.0% | 96.6% | 1.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | 39.8% | 94.4% | 2.6% | <1% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 100% / 0% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 60% / 0% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 67% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 11 draws) | 11 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.7 | Average goals | 1.4 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1