← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Liverpool vs Chelsea

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 52% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 26%
23%
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.7%10.7%1.0%
If Win <1%34.6%11.9%<1%
If Draw <1%27.6%12.5%1.2%
If Lose <1%21.8%10.4%1.1%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.7%62.0%11.0%<1%
If Win 2.5%68.4%10.3%<1%
If Draw 1.0%61.3%10.6%<1%
If Lose <1%54.3%12.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatChelsea
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.9
1.0Avg goals conceded1.6
50% / 30% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 10% / 40%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatChelsea
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea