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Tottenham vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Tottenham has a 38% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Tottenham
3-3-4Rating 1867
Form: LWWWD
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.9%10.7%1.4%
If Win <1%31.6%12.8%<1%
If Draw <1%25.5%12.2%1.1%
If Lose <1%21.1%10.5%2.1%

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.8%3.4%11.7%
If Win <1%6.1%4.3%7.8%
If Draw <1%3.3%2.9%11.4%
If Lose <1%2.5%2.0%13.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TottenhamStatChelsea
10Games played10
1.0Avg goals scored1.9
1.1Avg goals conceded1.6
30% / 30% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 10% / 40%
40% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TottenhamStatChelsea
7All-time wins (34 meetings, 9 draws)18
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.1Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-10-24): Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham