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Premier League
Sat, May 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Chelsea vs Everton Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 45% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: WDDDW
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%20.5%7.5%3.8%
If Win <1%25.4%8.6%2.8%
If Draw <1%18.6%7.0%3.6%
If Lose <1%15.5%6.7%5.9%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%17.1%7.3%5.8%
If Win <1%21.1%8.2%4.5%
If Draw <1%15.4%7.2%5.5%
If Lose <1%13.1%6.2%7.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatEverton
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.2
2.4Avg goals conceded0.6
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatEverton
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 7 draws)11
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-03-21): Everton 3–0 Chelsea