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Premier League
Sun, May 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Everton vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 52% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: WDDDW
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
22%
52%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 41.4%96.5%1.6%<1%
If Win 44.9%97.4%1.1%<1%
If Draw 38.8%95.7%1.9%<1%
If Lose 34.3%94.7%2.0%<1%

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%21.0%7.7%3.8%
If Win <1%26.1%7.9%2.4%
If Draw <1%19.1%7.8%4.1%
If Lose <1%16.1%7.5%5.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatArsenal
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.6
0.6Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
67% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatArsenal
7All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)18
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.9Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Arsenal 2–0 Everton