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Leeds vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 38% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL
vs
Model Probability
34%
Draw 28%
38%
Premier League
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.0%63.8%10.3%<1%
If Win 2.3%70.0%10.5%<1%
If Draw 1.3%63.6%10.2%<1%
If Lose <1%56.0%12.2%<1%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.9%7.8%3.6%
If Win <1%19.3%9.0%2.1%
If Draw <1%11.6%8.1%3.6%
If Lose <1%9.5%7.4%4.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatLiverpool
10Games played10
1.0Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.0
30% / 50% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 30% / 20%
40% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatLiverpool
1All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.2Average goals3.0
Last meeting (2026-01-01): Liverpool 0–0 Leeds