Aston Villa vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability
Aston Villa has a 52% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 26%
23%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 14.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 8.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 15.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 17.6% |
Aston Villa
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 27.2% | 11.7% | 1.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 34.5% | 12.7% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.7% | 11.0% | 1.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 20.6% | 9.8% | 1.8% |
| Aston Villa | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games played | 10 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.7 | Avg goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 30% / 40% / 30% | Win / Draw / Loss | 10% / 50% / 40% |
| 20% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Aston Villa | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | All-time wins (28 meetings, 7 draws) | 18 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 2 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 2.1 |