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Premier League
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Aston Villa vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 45% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1944
Form: WLDLL
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%27.2%9.1%3.0%
If Win 1.2%35.3%10.4%1.9%
If Draw <1%28.0%8.3%3.2%
If Lose <1%20.4%8.1%4.6%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.8%8.2%4.6%
If Win <1%31.0%9.5%2.1%
If Draw <1%22.9%8.4%4.1%
If Lose <1%18.4%7.5%5.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatManchester Utd
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded1.6
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatManchester Utd
3All-time wins (27 meetings, 6 draws)18
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.9Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-03-15): Manchester Utd 3–1 Aston Villa