Premier League
Thu, Jan 7, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT
Manchester Utd vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester Utd has a 48% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.3% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 32.7% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 26.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 32.3% | 9.6% | 1.7% |
| If Draw | <1% | 22.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 20% / 40% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 40% / 20% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws) | 9 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.8 | Average goals | 1.2 |