Premier League
Sun, Jan 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM GMT
Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability
Chelsea has a 42% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 24.1% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| If Win | <1% | 32.8% | 10.0% | 1.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | 22.8% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 17.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 18.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% |
| If Win | <1% | 21.7% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | 16.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 40% / 20% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 40% / 20% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | All-time wins (30 meetings, 5 draws) | 10 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.6 | Average goals | 1.2 |