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Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 48% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, Jan 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW
vs
Model Probability
48%
Draw 27%
26%
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.3%5.2%7.3%
If Win <1%11.5%7.4%3.3%
If Draw <1%7.7%5.5%6.1%
If Lose <1%4.2%3.7%10.2%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%27.6%11.0%1.4%
If Win <1%33.5%12.8%<1%
If Draw <1%22.7%11.6%1.6%
If Lose <1%18.6%10.2%1.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatNewcastle
10Games played10
1.9Avg goals scored1.3
1.6Avg goals conceded1.6
50% / 10% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
60% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatNewcastle
15All-time wins (30 meetings, 5 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle