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Premier League
Wed, Dec 30, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT

Newcastle vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Newcastle has a 50% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.9%3.7%15.4%
If Win <1%11.5%5.3%8.9%
If Draw <1%7.8%3.3%14.5%
If Lose <1%4.6%3.5%18.6%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.3%7.9%4.2%
If Win <1%28.7%9.5%1.6%
If Draw <1%20.0%8.6%4.5%
If Lose <1%15.7%7.4%5.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatNottingham
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored0.8
1.8Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatNottingham
8All-time wins (11 meetings, 1 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-05-10): Nottingham 1–1 Newcastle