Premier League
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 48% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 26%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 48.2% | 97.3% | 1.1% | <1% |
| If Win | 54.8% | 98.2% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 45.7% | 96.3% | 1.8% | <1% |
| If Lose | 39.8% | 94.9% | 2.3% | <1% |
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| If Win | <1% | 32.2% | 9.4% | 1.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | 22.5% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 40% / 40% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (30 meetings, 4 draws) | 24 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 3 |
| 0.8 | Average goals | 2.8 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1