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Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 47% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL
vs
Model Probability
26%
Draw 27%
47%
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.9%92.2%3.3%<1%
If Win 15.5%94.7%2.8%<1%
If Draw 9.6%89.4%5.3%<1%
If Lose 7.3%85.9%5.4%<1%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.1%4.7%8.1%
If Win <1%10.9%6.4%3.6%
If Draw <1%6.6%4.1%7.2%
If Lose <1%4.0%3.2%9.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatManchester City
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored2.1
1.6Avg goals conceded1.3
30% / 30% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 0% / 30%
20% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatManchester City
2All-time wins (30 meetings, 4 draws)24
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.8Average goals2.8
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle