← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Everton vs Manchester City
Premier League
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 8:15 PM GMT

Everton vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 51% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: WDDDW
VS
5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
23%
51%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 48.2%96.8%1.3%<1%
If Win 53.9%97.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 44.7%96.7%1.5%<1%
If Lose 39.9%94.8%2.0%<1%

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%19.9%7.3%3.9%
If Win <1%27.5%8.8%2.0%
If Draw <1%20.2%7.9%3.6%
If Lose <1%15.4%7.7%5.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatManchester City
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored2.6
0.6Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
67% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatManchester City
7All-time wins (34 meetings, 8 draws)19
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-05-04): Everton 3–3 Manchester City