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Premier League
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Everton vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Everton has a 49% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: WDDDW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
Model Probability
49%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.5%3.9%18.0%
If Win <1%11.6%5.1%9.5%
If Draw <1%6.1%3.0%16.5%
If Lose <1%3.6%2.8%21.7%

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%19.6%7.3%5.2%
If Win <1%24.6%8.5%2.2%
If Draw <1%17.2%7.3%4.8%
If Lose <1%13.9%5.8%7.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatSunderland
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.2
0.6Avg goals conceded2.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatSunderland
8All-time wins (17 meetings, 4 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-17): Everton 1–3 Sunderland