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Premier League
Wed, Dec 30, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 55% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
Model Probability
55%
21%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.8%3.3%17.5%
If Win <1%11.4%5.1%10.0%
If Draw <1%6.6%2.9%15.4%
If Lose <1%4.7%2.9%19.2%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.7%9.3%3.0%
If Win 1.1%32.3%9.2%1.5%
If Draw <1%23.2%8.0%3.6%
If Lose <1%18.9%6.6%5.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatSunderland
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
1.6Avg goals conceded2.0
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatSunderland
12All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals0.4
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Sunderland 0–0 Manchester Utd