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Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Everton has a 38% chance to win.
Premier League
Tue, Jan 5, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Everton
4-4-2Rating 1901
Form: WWLLD
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Premier League
Aston Villa
3-4-3Rating 1943
Form: DDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%29.3%10.1%1.3%
If Win <1%37.3%12.7%<1%
If Draw <1%25.8%11.2%1.0%
If Lose <1%20.2%10.5%1.5%

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.5%9.2%2.4%
If Win <1%25.0%10.8%1.0%
If Draw <1%16.6%8.6%1.9%
If Lose <1%11.4%7.5%3.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatAston Villa
10Games played10
1.2Avg goals scored1.4
1.0Avg goals conceded1.7
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 40% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatAston Villa
7All-time wins (27 meetings, 9 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-18): Aston Villa 0–1 Everton