Premier League
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Manchester Utd vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester Utd has a 41% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Liverpool
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.2% | 52.6% | 10.2% | <1% |
| If Win | 4.0% | 61.5% | 9.9% | <1% |
| If Draw | 2.6% | 52.6% | 10.7% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.8% | 45.3% | 10.5% | <1% |
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 28.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| If Win | <1% | 33.1% | 10.2% | 1.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.7% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 20% / 40% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 60% / 0% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 67% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws) | 10 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 1 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.7 |