Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Arsenal has a 53% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12.3% | 92.3% | 3.3% | <1% |
| If Win | 24.5% | 96.1% | 1.9% | <1% |
| If Draw | 14.7% | 92.3% | 3.1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 6.8% | 89.4% | 4.7% | <1% |
Arsenal
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 75.8% | 99.7% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 83.4% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 72.4% | 99.6% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 62.1% | 99.2% | <1% | <1% |
| Arsenal | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games played | 10 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals scored | 2.1 |
| 0.5 | Avg goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 90% / 0% / 10% | Win / Draw / Loss | 70% / 0% / 30% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 60% |
| Arsenal | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws) | 17 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 1 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 1.8 |