Premier League
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Arsenal has a 46% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 49.2% | 96.3% | 1.6% | <1% |
| If Win | 64.2% | 98.8% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 51.7% | 97.4% | 1.2% | <1% |
| If Lose | 37.9% | 95.7% | 1.7% | <1% |
Arsenal
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 40.3% | 95.9% | 1.7% | <1% |
| If Win | 51.2% | 97.6% | 1.1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 37.1% | 96.4% | 1.7% | <1% |
| If Lose | 26.1% | 94.8% | 2.2% | <1% |
| Arsenal | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 0.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 80% / 0% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Arsenal | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws) | 17 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 1 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 1.8 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1